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Is my degree worth it?
See when a qualification pays for itself, how far ahead you'll be at 10/20/30 years, and the value in today's money — using your own salary assumptions.
Calculator educationLogic updated April 2026
This calculator compares two earnings paths over a long horizon: with a degree (after a study period during which you don't earn but pay tuition) and without a degree (earning from year one). It surfaces the cumulative dollar advantage year by year and reports the year — if any — when the with-degree path overtakes the no-degree path. It's a modelling tool, not a forecast — it projects what your own salary assumptions imply.
How this is calculated
Formula
withDegree(year): if year ≤ studyDuration → −educationCost / studyDuration ; else → startingSalary × (1 + g)^(year − studyDuration − 1) ; noDegree(year): salary × (1 + g)^(year − 1) Step-by-step
- During the study years, the with-degree path subtracts education cost evenly across each year (negative cashflow)
- After graduation, the with-degree path starts earning the user-supplied starting salary, growing at the salary growth rate
- The no-degree path earns from year 1, growing at the same rate
- Each year, calculate the gap (with-degree income minus no-degree income) and add it to the cumulative advantage
- If a discount rate is supplied, discount each year's cashflow back to present value: cashflow ÷ (1 + r)^year
- Identify the break-even year — the first year cumulative advantage turns positive
- Rounding mode
- ROUND_HALF_UP
- Precision
- 20-digit internal precision (Decimal.js), rounded to 2 decimal places for display
- Logic last reviewed
Assumptions & limitations
What this calculator assumes
- Modelling tool — projections reflect the user's own salary assumptions, not labour-market forecasts
- Both paths grow at the same annual salary growth rate
- Education cost is spread evenly across the study period
- The without-degree path begins earning in year 1; the with-degree path begins earning the year after graduation
- No taxation, no jurisdictional repayment thresholds
What this calculator doesn’t account for
- Salary assumptions are user-supplied — the calculator can't verify they're realistic
- Doesn't model career progression dynamics (degree-required promotions, certification requirements)
- Doesn't capture non-financial benefits (network, intellectual development, life satisfaction)
- Doesn't include risk of not completing the degree or not finding work in the field
- Doesn't factor in inflation — use the discount rate input to approximate real returns
Worked example
A prospective student compares spending 4 years on a degree at $25,000/year of total cost (tuition + living above what they'd otherwise pay), expecting a $70,000 starting salary growing 3% a year, vs a $40,000 starting non-degree job growing 3% a year, projecting 30 years.
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Education cost | $100,000 ($25k × 4 years) |
| Study duration | 4 years |
| Salary with degree | $70,000 |
| Salary without degree | $40,000 |
| Salary growth | 3%/year |
| Projection horizon | 30 years |
Break-even year: ~9 — Cumulative advantage by year 30: ~$1.1M
Years 1–4: with-degree is at -$25k/year; no-degree is +$40k → no-degree leads by ~$260k. After graduation, with-degree earns $30k/year more, growing with salaries. Around year 9 the cumulative advantage flips positive. By year 30 the with-degree path is ahead by roughly $1.1M of cumulative earnings — a substantial gap, but contingent on the salary assumptions actually playing out.
Frequently asked questions
How do I calculate the return on education?
Compare lifetime earnings under two paths: with the degree (including the cost) vs without it. The 'return' is the cumulative earnings gap at a future year. This calculator does the year-by-year math and surfaces the break-even year. The headline number depends entirely on the salary inputs you provide — small changes in the salary premium make big differences over 30 years.
What costs should I include?
Direct costs: tuition, books, mandatory fees. Living costs that wouldn't otherwise apply (e.g., moving for university). And the opportunity cost — the income you'd have earned in those study years. The calculator handles the first two via the education cost input; for the third, see the study opportunity cost calculator. A complete view bundles all three.
How long until my degree pays for itself?
The break-even year — when cumulative degree earnings overtake cumulative non-degree earnings. Typical estimates land between year 7 and year 12 after starting study, depending heavily on the salary premium. Lower-premium degrees (or expensive ones) can take 15+ years; high-premium degrees in well-paid fields sometimes break even within 5 years of graduation. The calculator gives the answer specific to your inputs.
What if the degree never breaks even financially?
It happens — particularly when the salary premium is small, the degree is expensive, or the projection horizon is short. The calculator surfaces this case explicitly. Non-financial reasons for the degree (passion, network, professional licensing, intellectual development) may still justify it, but you should make that call with eyes open. The calculator is a financial-only view; the full decision involves more.
Should I include inflation?
If you want today's-dollar comparisons, set the discount rate to your assumed inflation rate (typically 2–3%). That converts future earnings into present-value figures, which makes the break-even and cumulative advantage more meaningful in current purchasing power. Setting discount rate to 0 gives you nominal future dollars — bigger numbers, less honest about what they'll buy.
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